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A pattern similar to a dart board with few concentric circles shown in white color on a red background. In the innermost circle, there are four black points on the circumference showing the positions of a restaurant. They are far apart from each other.
A GPS system attempts to locate a restaurant at the center of the bull’s-eye. The black dots represent each attempt to pinpoint the location of the restaurant. The dots are spread out quite far apart from one another, indicating low precision, but they are each rather close to the actual location of the restaurant, indicating high accuracy. (credit: Dark Evil)
A pattern similar to a dart board with a few concentric circles shown in white color on a red background. Near the outermost white circles there are four black points showing the positions of a restaurant. The black points are very close to each other.
In this figure, the dots are concentrated rather closely to one another, indicating high precision, but they are rather far away from the actual location of the restaurant, indicating low accuracy. (credit: Dark Evil)

Accuracy, precision, and uncertainty

The degree of accuracy and precision of a measuring system are related to the uncertainty    in the measurements. Uncertainty is a quantitative measure of how much your measured values deviate from a standard or expected value. If your measurements are not very accurate or precise, then the uncertainty of your values will be very high. In more general terms, uncertainty can be thought of as a disclaimer for your measured values. For example, if someone asked you to provide the mileage on your car, you might say that it is 45,000 miles, plus or minus 500 miles. The plus or minus amount is the uncertainty in your value. That is, you are indicating that the actual mileage of your car might be as low as 44,500 miles or as high as 45,500 miles, or anywhere in between. All measurements contain some amount of uncertainty. In our example of measuring the length of the paper, we might say that the length of the paper is 11 in., plus or minus 0.2 in. The uncertainty in a measurement, A size 12{A} {} , is often denoted as δA size 12{δA} {} (“delta A size 12{A} {} ”), so the measurement result would be recorded as A ± δA size 12{ +- δA } {} . In our paper example, the length of the paper could be expressed as 11  in. ± 0. 2 . size 12{ +- 0 "." 2 "." } {}

The factors contributing to uncertainty in a measurement include:

  1. Limitations of the measuring device,
  2. The skill of the person making the measurement,
  3. Irregularities in the object being measured,
  4. Any other factors that affect the outcome (highly dependent on the situation).

In our example, such factors contributing to the uncertainty could be the following: the smallest division on the ruler is 0.1 in., the person using the ruler has bad eyesight, or one side of the paper is slightly longer than the other. At any rate, the uncertainty in a measurement must be based on a careful consideration of all the factors that might contribute and their possible effects.

Making connections: Real-world connections – fevers or chills?

Uncertainty is a critical piece of information, both in physics and in many other real-world applications. Imagine you are caring for a sick child. You suspect the child has a fever, so you check his or her temperature with a thermometer. What if the uncertainty of the thermometer were 3 . C size 12{3 "." 0°C} {} ? If the child’s temperature reading was 37 . C size 12{"37" "." 0°C} {} (which is normal body temperature), the “true” temperature could be anywhere from a hypothermic 34 . C size 12{"34" "." 0°C} {} to a dangerously high 40 . C size 12{"40" "." 0°C} {} . A thermometer with an uncertainty of 3 . C size 12{3 "." 0°C} {} would be useless.

Questions & Answers

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Source:  OpenStax, College physics. OpenStax CNX. Jul 27, 2015 Download for free at http://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11406/1.9
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