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Percent uncertainty

One method of expressing uncertainty is as a percent of the measured value. If a measurement A size 12{A} {} is expressed with uncertainty, δA size 12{δA} {} , the percent uncertainty    (%unc) is defined to be

% unc = δA A × 100% . size 12{%" unc = " { {δA} over {A} } times "100"%} {}

Calculating percent uncertainty: a bag of apples

A grocery store sells 5 lb size 12{ "5 lb" } {} bags of apples. You purchase four bags over the course of a month and weigh the apples each time. You obtain the following measurements:

  • Week 1 weight: 4.8 lb size 12{ "4.8 lb" } {}
  • Week 2 weight: 5.3 lb size 12{ "5.3 lb" } {}
  • Week 3 weight: 4.9 lb size 12{ "4.9 lb" } {}
  • Week 4 weight: 5.4 lb size 12{ "5.4 lb" } {}

You determine that the weight of the 5 lb size 12{ "5 lb" } {} bag has an uncertainty of ± 0 . 4 lb size 12{ +- 0 "." 4`"lb"} {} . What is the percent uncertainty of the bag's weight?

Strategy

First, observe that the expected value of the bag's weight, A size 12{A} {} , is 5 lb. The uncertainty in this value, δA size 12{δA} {} , is 0.4 lb. We can use the following equation to determine the percent uncertainty of the weight:

% unc = δA A × 100% . size 12{%" unc = " { {δA} over {A} } times "100"%} {}

Solution

Plug the known values into the equation:

% unc = 0 . 4  lb 5  lb × 100% = 8 % . size 12{%" unc = " { {0 "." 4" lb"} over {5" lb"} } times "100"%=8%} {}

Discussion

We can conclude that the weight of the apple bag is 5 lb ± 8 % size 12{5`"lb" +- 8%} {} . Consider how this percent uncertainty would change if the bag of apples were half as heavy, but the uncertainty in the weight remained the same. Hint for future calculations: when calculating percent uncertainty, always remember that you must multiply the fraction by 100%. If you do not do this, you will have a decimal quantity, not a percent value.

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Uncertainties in calculations

There is an uncertainty in anything calculated from measured quantities. For example, the area of a floor calculated from measurements of its length and width has an uncertainty because the length and width have uncertainties. How big is the uncertainty in something you calculate by multiplication or division? If the measurements going into the calculation have small uncertainties (a few percent or less), then the method of adding percents    can be used for multiplication or division. This method says that the percent uncertainty in a quantity calculated by multiplication or division is the sum of the percent uncertainties in the items used to make the calculation . For example, if a floor has a length of 4 . 00 m size 12{4 "." "00"" m"} {} and a width of 3 . 00 m size 12{3 "." "00"" m"} {} , with uncertainties of 2% size 12{2%} {} and 1% size 12{1%} {} , respectively, then the area of the floor is 12 . 0 m 2 size 12{"12" "." 0" m" rSup { size 8{2} } } {} and has an uncertainty of 3% size 12{3%} {} . (Expressed as an area this is 0 . 36 m 2 size 12{0 "." "36"" m" rSup { size 8{2} } } {} , which we round to 0 . 4 m 2 size 12{0 "." 4" m" rSup { size 8{2} } } {} since the area of the floor is given to a tenth of a square meter.)

A high school track coach has just purchased a new stopwatch. The stopwatch manual states that the stopwatch has an uncertainty of ± 0 . 05 s size 12{ +- 0 "." "05"`s} {} . Runners on the track coach's team regularly clock 100 m sprints of 11.49 s size 12{"11.49 s"} {} to 15.01 s size 12{"15.01 s"} {} . At the school's last track meet, the first-place sprinter came in at 12 . 04 s size 12{"12" "." "04"" s"} {} and the second-place sprinter came in at 12 . 07 s size 12{"12" "." "07"" s"} {} . Will the coach's new stopwatch be helpful in timing the sprint team? Why or why not?

No, the uncertainty in the stopwatch is too great to effectively differentiate between the sprint times.

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Precision of measuring tools and significant figures

An important factor in the accuracy and precision of measurements involves the precision of the measuring tool. In general, a precise measuring tool is one that can measure values in very small increments. For example, a standard ruler can measure length to the nearest millimeter, while a caliper can measure length to the nearest 0.01 millimeter. The caliper is a more precise measuring tool because it can measure extremely small differences in length. The more precise the measuring tool, the more precise and accurate the measurements can be.

Questions & Answers

Ayele, K., 2003. Introductory Economics, 3rd ed., Addis Ababa.
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Ariel
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Ariel
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the study of how humans make choices under conditions of scarcity
AI-Robot
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this is the study of how the society manages it's scarce resources
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macroeconomic is the branch of economics which studies actions, scale, activities and behaviour of the aggregate economy as a whole.
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Suppose the demand function that a firm faces shifted from Qd  120 3P to Qd  90  3P and the supply function has shifted from QS  20  2P to QS 10  2P . a) Find the effect of this change on price and quantity. b) Which of the changes in demand and supply is higher?
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Jan
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out-of-pocket costs for a firm, for example, payments for wages and salaries, rent, or materials
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Source:  OpenStax, College physics for ap® courses. OpenStax CNX. Nov 04, 2016 Download for free at https://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11844/1.14
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