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Suppose X is a random variable with a distribution that may be known or unknown (it can be any distribution) and suppose:

  • μ X = the mean of X
  • σ X = the standard deviation of X
If you draw random samples of size n , then as n increases, the random variable ΣX which consists of sums tends to be normally distributed and

Σ X ~ N ( n μ X , n σ X )

The Central Limit Theorem for Sums says that if you keep drawing larger and larger samples and taking their sums, the sums form their own normal distribution (the sampling distribution) which approaches a normal distribution as the sample size increases. The normal distribution has a mean equal to the original mean multiplied by the sample size and a standard deviationequal to the original standard deviation multiplied by the square root of the sample size.

The random variable Σ X has the following z-score associated with it:

  • Σx is one sum.
  • z = Σ x - n μ X n σ X
  • n μ X = the mean of ΣX
  • n σ X = standard deviation of ΣX

An unknown distribution has a mean of 90 and a standard deviation of 15. A sample of size 80 is drawn randomly from the population.

  • Find the probability that the sum of the 80 values (or the total of the 80 values) is more than 7500.
  • Find the sum that is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean of the sums.

Let X = one value from the original unknown population. The probability question asks you to find a probability for the sum (or total of) 80 values.

ΣX = the sum or total of 80 values. Since μ X = 90 , σ X = 15 , and n = 80 , then

Σ X ~ N ( 80 90 , 80 15 )

  • mean of the sums = n μ X = ( 80 ) ( 90 ) = 7200
  • standard deviation of the sums = n σ X = 80 15
  • sum of 80 values = Σx = 7500

  • Find P ( Σx 7500 )

P ( Σx 7500 ) = 0.0127

Normal distribution curve of sum X with the values of 7200 and 7500 on the x-axis. A vertical upward line extends from point 7500 on the x-axis up to the curve. The probability area occurs from point 7500 and to the end of the curve.

normalcdf (lower value, upper value, mean of sums, stdev of sums)

The parameter list is abbreviated (lower, upper, n μ X , n σ X )

normalcdf (7500,1E99, 80 90 , 80 15 ) = 0.0127

Reminder: 1E99 = 10 99 . Press the EE key for E.

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  • Find Σx where z = 1.5:


Σx = n μ X + z n σ X = (80)(90) + (1.5)( 80 ) (15)= 7401.2

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Questions & Answers

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Source:  OpenStax, Collaborative statistics. OpenStax CNX. Jul 03, 2012 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col10522/1.40
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